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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Posterior_probability
Posterior probability is a conditional probability conditioned on randomly observed data. Hence it is a random variable. For a random variable, it is important to summarize its amount of uncertainty. One way to achieve this goal is to provide a credible interval of the posterior probability. Classification
https://academic.oup.com/mbe/article/21/1/188/1114781
Jan 01, 2004 · For the purposes of this study, well-supported clades were defined as those with both 63% or greater jackknife support and posterior probability for the parsimony and Bayesian analyses, respectively. (The lowest support values for the clades examined here were 68% jackknife support and 98% Bayesian support.)Cited by: 430
https://www.researchgate.net/post/What_is_the_recommended_value_of_posterior_probability_in_Mr_Bayes_analysis_in_the_phylogeny_tree
What is the recommended value of posterior probability in Mr. Bayes analysis in the phylogeny tree? ... Different support can sometimes provide insights into your data. ... Values of probability ...
https://www.mathworks.com/help/stats/fitsvmposterior.html
ScoreSVMModel = fitSVMPosterior(SVMModel) returns ScoreSVMModel, which is a trained, support vector machine (SVM) classifier containing the optimal score-to-posterior-probability transformation function for two-class learning.. The software fits the appropriate score-to-posterior-probability transformation function using the SVM classifier SVMModel, and by cross validation using the stored ...
https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/341553/what-is-bayesian-posterior-probability-and-how-is-it-different-to-just-using-a-p
What exactly is posterior probability; ... Frequentist p-values are not true probability distributions, but rather worst-case distributions, if the null is true. The meaning of the Bayesian posterior is that given the actual result, the probability that $\pi=1/3$ is 3.35%. It is unlikely that it is the true value, but there is a small chance it ...
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4915361/
We introduce a new method for computing support for species tree branches with regard to a set of unrooted gene trees by calculating Bayesian posterior probabilities. Our support values, which we call local posterior probabilities, are computed based on gene tree quartet frequencies.Cited by: 205
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference_in_phylogeny
Bootstrap values vs Posterior Probabilities. It has been observed that bootstrap support values, calculated under parsimony or maximum likelihood, tend to be lower than the posterior probabilities obtained by Bayesian inference. This fact leads to a number of questions such as: Do posterior probabilities lead to overconfidence in the results?Classification: Evolutionary biology
https://www.cbcb.umd.edu/publications/comparing-bootstrap-and-posterior-probability-values-four-taxon-case
Whether bootstrap or posterior probability values are higher depends on the data in support of alternative topologies. Examination of star topologies revealed that both bootstrap and posterior probability values differ significantly from theoretical expectations; in particular, there are more posterior probability values in the range 0.85-1 ...
http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/ppc_understand2.pdf
of loaded dice, the probability of getting double-sixes is 0.11,’ or, ‘There is a 50% probability that Barack Obama won more than 52% of the white vote in Michigan in the 2008 election.’ That said, it can sometimes be helpful to compare posterior p-values to their corresponding recalibrated u-values under the prior predictive distribution.
https://treethinkers.blogspot.com/2008/10/labeling-trees-posterior-probability.html
Oct 18, 2008 · #The plotBayesBoot function below plots both posterior probability and bootstrap values on each node of the consensus tree obtained from your Bayesian analysis. Bootstrap values will appear in bold text immediately below and to the left of the node they support, whereas Bayesian posterior probabilies will appear in regular face above and to the ...Author: Glor
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