Prediction Markets As Institutions Forecasting Support Systems

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Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support ...

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167923610000916
    An attractive feature of Prediction Markets (PMs) is that they provide economic incentives for informants to share unique information. It is unclear whether PMs are appropriate for applications with few knowledgeable informants as is the case for most institutional forecasting tasks.Cited by: 28

Prediction Markets as Institutional Forecasting Support ...

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222581385_Prediction_Markets_as_Institutional_Forecasting_Support_Systems
    Prediction Markets as Institutional Forecasting Support Systems Article in Decision Support Systems 49(4):404-416 · November 2010 with 125 Reads How we measure 'reads'

Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support ...

    https://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1851017
    An attractive feature of Prediction Markets (PMs) is that they provide economic incentives for informants to share unique information. It is unclear whether PMs are appropriate for applications with few knowledgeable informants as is the case for most institutional forecasting tasks.Cited by: 28

PREDICTION MARKETS AS INSTITUTIONAL FORECASTING …

    https://www.ecm.bwl.uni-muenchen.de/publikationen/pdf/pred_markets.pdf
    PREDICTION MARKETS AS INSTITUTIONAL FORECASTING SUPPORT SYSTEMS ABSTRACT An attractive feature of Prediction Markets (PMs, also called information markets or virtual stock markets) is that they provide economic incentives for informants to share unique information, i.e., information that no other informants possess.

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/201168816_Prediction_Markets_as_Decision_Support_Systems
    Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems Article in Information Systems Frontiers 5(1):79--93 · January 2003 with 11 Reads How we measure 'reads'

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

    https://www.brookings.edu/research/prediction-markets-for-economic-forecasting/
    Jun 13, 2012 · Editor’s Note: This working paper was prepared for an upcoming book, The Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2. Abstract. Prediction markets—markets used to …

Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support ...

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167923610000916
    An attractive feature of Prediction Markets (PMs) is that they provide economic incentives for informants to share unique information. It is unclear whether PMs are appropriate for applications with few knowledgeable informants as is the case for most institutional forecasting tasks.Cited by: 28

PREDICTION MARKETS AS INSTITUTIONAL FORECASTING …

    https://www.ecm.bwl.uni-muenchen.de/publikationen/pdf/pred_markets.pdf
    PREDICTION MARKETS AS INSTITUTIONAL FORECASTING SUPPORT SYSTEMS ABSTRACT An attractive feature of Prediction Markets (PMs, also called information markets or virtual stock markets) is that they provide economic incentives for informants to share unique information, i.e., information that no other informants possess.

Prediction Markets as Institutional Forecasting Support ...

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222581385_Prediction_Markets_as_Institutional_Forecasting_Support_Systems
    Prediction Markets as Institutional Forecasting Support Systems Article in Decision Support Systems 49(4):404-416 · November 2010 with 125 Reads How we measure 'reads'

Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support ...

    http://dro.deakin.edu.au/view/DU:30091187
    Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support systems Van Bruggen, Gerrit H., Spann, Martin, ... Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support systems Author(s) Van Bruggen, Gerrit H. Spann, Martin ... Prediction Markets institutional forecasting: Language eng DOI 10.1016/j.dss.2010.05.002 ...Cited by: 28

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/201168816_Prediction_Markets_as_Decision_Support_Systems
    Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems Article in Information Systems Frontiers 5(1):79--93 · January 2003 with 11 Reads How we measure 'reads'

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

    https://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/Decision%20Support.pdf
    Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems 81 discuss extensively the forecasting nature of simple prediction markets. Simple prediction markets are all structured similarly and the 1996 Presidential markets serve as illustrations here. We start with “linear” markets, so named because of their contract payout structure. To understand how

Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support ...

    https://repub.eur.nl/pub/20839
    Decision Support Systems, Volume 49 - Issue 4 p. 404- 416 An attractive feature of Prediction Markets (PMs) is that they provide economic incentives for informants to share unique information. It is unclear whether PMs are appropriate for applications with few knowledgeable informants as is the case for most institutional forecasting tasks.

Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support ...

    http://dro.deakin.edu.au/view/DU:30091187
    Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support systems Van Bruggen, Gerrit H., Spann, Martin, ... Prediction Markets as institutional forecasting support systems Author(s) Van Bruggen, Gerrit H. Spann, Martin ... Prediction Markets institutional forecasting: Language eng DOI 10.1016/j.dss.2010.05.002 ...

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

    https://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/Decision%20Support.pdf
    Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems 81 discuss extensively the forecasting nature of simple prediction markets. Simple prediction markets are all structured similarly and the 1996 Presidential markets serve as illustrations here. We start with “linear” markets, so named because of their contract payout structure. To understand how

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/201168816_Prediction_Markets_as_Decision_Support_Systems
    Prediction markets are a form of group decision support system which uses a market mechanism to elicit and aggregate information from large numbers of individuals.

THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED FORECASTING

    https://foresight.forecasters.org/wp-content/uploads/FS_issue42_toc.pdf
    Prediction Markets • Have Corporate Prediction Markets Had Their Heyday? ... • Data-Cube Forecasting for the Forecasting Support System Forecaster in the Field • Interview with Igor Gusakov Forecasting by Aggregation: Part 2 ... THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED FORECASTING Forecasting Support Systems 5 • The Special Feature.

The Power of Prediction Markets - Gnosis

    https://blog.gnosis.pm/the-power-of-prediction-markets-fedea0b71244
    Sep 25, 2017 · Prediction markets outperformed HP’s traditional forecasts in the price of computer memory three and six months ahead as well, being 70 percent more accurate. Best Buy used prediction markets for several purposes such as the demand for digital set-top boxes, store opening dates, or whether new services will be launched on time.

The Journal of Prediction Markets - The University of ...

    http://ubplj.org/index.php/jpm/article/view/428
    CONDITIONAL PREDICTION MARKETS AS CORPORATE DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS – AN EXPERIMENTAL COMPARISON WITH GROUP DELIBERATIONS ... The Journal of Prediction Markets Open Journal Systems. Journal Help. User. Username: Password: ... (2002) Information Aggregation Mechanisms: Concept, Design and Implementation for a Sales Forecasting Problem ...

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems SpringerLink

    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023%2FA%3A1022002107255
    Valuations from “prediction markets” reveal expectations about the likelihood of events. “Conditional prediction markets” reveal expectations conditional on other events occurring. For example, in 1996, the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) ran markets to predict the chances that different candidates would become the Republican Presidential nominee. Other concurrent IEM markets predicted ...

Making Business Predictions by Combining Human and …

    http://web.mit.edu/ynagar/www/papers/Nagar_Malone_MakingBusinessPredictionsbyCombiningHumanandMachineIntelligence.ICIS2011.pdf
    Thirty Second International Conference on Information Systems, Shanghai 2011 1 MAKING BUSINESS PREDICTIONS BY COMBINING HUMAN AND MACHINE INTELLIGENCE IN PREDICTION MARKETS Completed Research Paper Yiftach Nagar Thomas W. Malone MIT Center for Collective Intelligence and Sloan School of Management,

Sports forecasting: a comparison of the forecast accuracy ...

    http://g.espncdn.com/s/betting/SpannForecasting.pdf
    Sports Forecasting: A Comparison of the Forecast Accuracy of Prediction Markets, Betting Odds and Tipsters MARTIN SPANN1* AND BERND SKIERA2 1 School of Business and Economics, University of Passau, Germany 2 School of Business and Economics, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany ABSTRACT

Prediction Markets: Fundamentals, Key Design Elements, …

    https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/7246/98cf232bbfd6efe78f856c92349df706cb08.pdf
    forecast future events”. Moreover, prediction markets can also serve as decision support systems by providing information about the current situation or by evaluating effects of decisions over time (Berg and Rietz, 2003, Hanson, 1999). Although prediction markets that are designed for information aggregation and revelation are at

The wisdom of crowds in action: Forecasting epidemic ...

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1386505616300715
    The wisdom of crowds in action: Forecasting epidemic diseases with a web-based prediction market system. ... A prediction market system (PMS), ... 2010, we invited health professionals with the help of the CDC in 543 major hospitals and health institutions in Taiwan to use the system. On February 1, the system was opened to the invitees for ...

Corporate prediction markets: a tool for predicting market ...

    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11573-012-0645-1
    Jan 25, 2013 · Prediction markets have been applied for various forecasting issues, such as political events or sports. The ability of these markets to collect distributed information in a fast and efficient way provides useful support for corporate planning. A crucial criterion for the quality of the information aggregation process is the liquidity of the market, especially in corporate prediction markets ...

Prediction Markets - Inkling - Inkling Markets

    https://inklingmarkets.com/
    The Early Warning Project for Forecasting Mass Atrocities. Using a customized version of Inkling Markets, the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum has created the first crowdsourced prediction site about global mass atrocities called the Early Warning Project.



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